Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.004606 0.004854 0.005109 0.005390 0.005693 0.006011 0.006368
2024-12-22 0.004142 0.004506 0.004897 0.005349 0.005860 0.006423 0.007092
2024-12-29 0.003809 0.004230 0.004694 0.005249 0.005897 0.006635 0.007548
2025-01-05 0.003563 0.004021 0.004537 0.005169 0.005927 0.006816 0.007951
2025-01-12 0.003412 0.003904 0.004470 0.005179 0.006050 0.007099 0.008479
2025-01-19 0.003179 0.003675 0.004256 0.004994 0.005918 0.007054 0.008583
2025-01-26 0.003078 0.003598 0.004215 0.005013 0.006033 0.007314 0.009085
2025-02-02 0.003045 0.003600 0.004268 0.005148 0.006295 0.007772 0.009869
2025-02-09 0.002924 0.003485 0.004170 0.005084 0.006294 0.007881 0.010182
2025-02-16 0.002835 0.003406 0.004112 0.005066 0.006350 0.008064 0.010604
2025-02-23 0.002744 0.003321 0.004041 0.005027 0.006373 0.008198 0.010961
2025-03-02 0.002701 0.003296 0.004046 0.005087 0.006530 0.008526 0.011616
2025-03-09 0.002628 0.003230 0.003997 0.005073 0.006589 0.008720 0.012093
2025-03-16 0.002549 0.003152 0.003930 0.005033 0.006607 0.008857 0.012490
2025-03-23 0.002455 0.003053 0.003829 0.004941 0.006546 0.008871 0.012692
2025-03-30 0.002374 0.002967 0.003744 0.004867 0.006506 0.008913 0.012939
2025-04-06 0.002327 0.002927 0.003720 0.004876 0.006587 0.009141 0.013502
2025-04-13 0.002220 0.002801 0.003573 0.004706 0.006394 0.008935 0.013325
2025-04-20 0.002184 0.002771 0.003557 0.004724 0.006483 0.009174 0.013917
2025-04-27 0.002185 0.002793 0.003614 0.004848 0.006739 0.009688 0.015024
2025-05-04 0.002126 0.002729 0.003548 0.004789 0.006708 0.009737 0.015305
2025-05-11 0.002084 0.002687 0.003513 0.004773 0.006743 0.009894 0.015793
2025-05-18 0.002037 0.002638 0.003465 0.004736 0.006744 0.009993 0.016180